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Day Trading Course, Euro and Oil move higher as equities stay consolidated

Day Trading Course, Euro and Oil move higher as equities stay consolidated Riskier assets enjoyed a week without headwinds, as few headlines from Europe were able to derail the positive momentum in the capital markets. Equity bourses especially in the US were able to continue their torrid rally, while oil prices climb above resistance levels near 109.The two main features of the week’s activity in the currency markets were euro strength and the yen weakness. The euro has moved to new highs for the year and has pulled the Swiss franc along for the ride. The euro’s strength comes as investors accept official intent of building a firewall around Greece. Moreover, ECB’s Draghi hinted that there will be not more collateral liberalization. The market has priced in next week’s liquidity provision under the LTRO and suspects that could very well be the last one. The yen is the weakest of the major currencies, losing about 1.3% against the dollar this week and more than 3% against the euro. The driver was the BOJ’s unexpected expansion of its asset purchases announced on February 14.

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In economic news, German Q4 GDP was confirmed at -0.2% q/q as expected and also in line with preliminary estimates. The second release also included a detailed breakdown of the components. The main drag to economic activity came from exports and private consumption.

In the US better than expected jobless claims data seemed to be the catalyst behind most of the equity rally. Initial jobless claims totaled 351,000 during the week ended Feb. 18, according to the Labor Department. That equaled the previous week’s figure.  While new jobless claims remained unchanged, the four-week moving average fell by 7,000 to 359,000, putting it at its lowest point since the week of March 22, 2008. In the last six weeks, new claims have dropped four times.   The four-week average has remained below 400,000 since early November, which is a level likely to bring down the overall unemployment rate to acceptable levels.

The Euro Break OutThe EUR/USD broke out to the upside, slicing through resistance levels seen near 1.3320. The currency pair is now likely to target resistance levels seen near 1.36, and then the 200-day moving average at 1.37. Support on the EUR/USD is seen near the 20-day moving average near 1.32.

forex chart eurusd 1209 Day Trading Course, Euro and Oil move higher as equities stay consolidated Day Trading Course uses technical skills for finding high probability trades.  Small risk, high reward trades are simple to see and execute.

Crude oil prices continued to follow through on last week’s break out climbing higher every day during the past week. Crude sliced through resistance near 105, and climbed toward the 109 level. With the 20-day moving average crossing above the 50-day moving average during the week, a medium term trend has been confirmed, which will likely bring additional upward momentum.

oil chart 1209 Day Trading Course, Euro and Oil move higher as equities stay consolidated

Day trading course will be in your area soon, join us for Day trading education in Calgary Alberta on Feb 25-27.  Contact us for more details and to register.

The S&P500 emini futures is one of the largest professionally day traded markets in the world. Our Day trading course focuses on training you on how to see price and direction in the marketplace and how to leverage your strengths to take a profit out of the market.

Disclaimer: day trading is high risk, do your own work : The efficacy of both technical analysis and fundamental analysis is disputed by efficient market hypothesis which states that stock market prices are essentially unpredictable. Be responsible for your trades, do your own work and never rely on others. When searching for a Day trading course, be sure you understand the risks involved in trading.

Day Trading Course, Weekly Trading Report.

Day Trading Course, weekly trading report

Riskier assets were able to gain traction later in the week, as better than expected economic data, trumped the ongoing feet dragging surrounding the second bail out payment for Greece. The US markets continued to decouple from Europe, as better than expected employment, housing and manufacturing data, were released late in the week. The bank of Japan also surprised the markets with an expansion of their asset purchase program.

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The yen was the weakest of the major currencies during the week, following the BOJ’s unexpected 10 trillion dollar extension of its Japanese government asset purchase program. The Yen weakened approximately 2% vs. the US dollar. The weekly Ministry of Finance data shows that Japanese investors are buying an average of $7.5 billion dollars of foreign stocks and bonds per week this year, which is a large increase over last year’s purchases. At the same time, foreign investors have slowed their purchases of Japanese bonds and stocks.

In the US, better than expected Jobless Claims continued to propel the US equity markets. Jobless claims dropped by 13,000 to 348,000 according to the Labor Department. Analysts surveyed had expected claims to climb by 7,000 to 365,000. The decline below 350,000 is in line with an unemployment rate of approximately 6%, compared to the current rate which is near 8.3%. The better jobs picture is increasing investor sentiment and consumer confidence.

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In addition to the solid employment news, US housing numbers were also better than expected. Housing Starts last month increased 1.5% in December, according to the Commerce Department. The results were better than forecast. Economists surveyed had expected housing starts would rise by 3.0 % to a rate of 677,000. Building permits, which are a gauge of future starts, rose by 0.7% in January month over month to an annual rate of 676,000.

Yen Weakens on New BOJ Policy

The USD/JPY surged during the week as the Bank of Japan surprised investors by increasing their bond purchase program.  The USD/JPY broke through resistance levels near 78.40, pushing higher during the balance of the week, and closing nearly 2% higher above 79.40.

forex chart usdjpy 1207 Day Trading Course, Weekly Trading Report.

Oil Prices Test Resistance

Crude oil price rose during the week, testing the $103 per barrel level, as a stronger than expected draw in weekly inventories drove prices higher. The potential for an embargo on Iranian oil has buoyed prices during the past few months, ahead of the US driving season. Oil climbed nearly 3% during the week, and a close above $103.70, will target resistance near $105.

Oil chart 1207 Day Trading Course, Weekly Trading Report.

Day trading course will be in your area soon, join us for Day trading education in Calgary Alberta on Feb 25-27.  Contact us for more details and to register.

The S&P500 emini futures is one of the largest professionally day traded markets in the world. Our Day trading course focuses on training you on how to see price and direction in the marketplace and how to leverage your strengths to take a profit out of the market.

Disclaimer: day trading is high risk, do your own work : The efficacy of both technical analysis and fundamental analysis is disputed by efficient market hypothesis which states that stock market prices are essentially unpredictable. Be responsible for your trades, do your own work and never rely on others. When searching for a Day trading course, be sure you understand the risks involved in trading.

DAY TRADING COURSE: CONTINUATION OR REVERSAL?

Day Trading Course, S&P 500

Day trading course focusing on the S&P500 emini futures support and resistance.

Day trading course looks at price and direction, the support and resistance and the direction of the market.

Day trading course will be in your area soon, join us for Day trading education.

The S&P e-minis futures gapped up in after hours trading to 1369.50 then held steady. This area is slightly higher than the ceiling of last May 2011 of 1350. ES 03 12 1440 Min 2 20 2012 1 300x212 DAY TRADING COURSE: CONTINUATION OR REVERSAL? In the last hour of 02/19/12 EST, price movement has tested down a little through support around 1366.

With the US holiday tomorrow of Presidents’ Day, the bond and equity markets will be closed during trading hours.

Considering the low volume and commitment of late, I have to ask, aren’t buyers exhausted yet? Not so far. It is doubtful that long term market direction will be determined in the next few hours.

 

Looking at a monthly chart reveals that it is possible a pennant has been forming.

If so, price will continue to meet resistance and start to move down from this area, with sellers taking control. If it does, the next levels of support could be around 1360, 1356, and 1350.

If buyers keep the reigns, even with so little commitment (decreasing volume), price might not meet resistance until around 1400. If it moves that far, then it might continue to 1438 and then 1462, testing highs of 2007!

Only trade what you see! Marie

 

Day trading course will be in your area soon, join us for Day trading education.

The S&P500 emini futures is one of the largest professionally day traded markets in the world. Our Day trading course focuses on training you on how to see price and direction in the marketplace and how to leverage your strengths to take a profit out of the market.
Disclaimer: day trading is high risk, do your own work : The efficacy of both technical analysis and fundamental analysis is disputed by efficient market hypothesis which states that stock market prices are essentially unpredictable. Be responsible for your trades, do your own work and never rely on others. When searching for a Day trading course, be sure you understand the risks involved in trading.

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